Thursday, August 2, 2007

Invest 99L continues to show potential



Time: 02/1745 UTC
Location: 13.2N 66.7W
Strength: T1.0/1.5 --- ~25kts

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO HAVE SOME POTENTIAL TO
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD NEAR 25 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM.

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So far, recon has not been successful in locating a westerly wind on the south side of the storm. Despite a good satellite representation, 99L will not be upgraded for at least another 6 hours. 99L is moving west very quickly. This will only enhance the effects of shear. At this point, while potential for development continues, it is getting smaller, and probability of 99L to become anything formidible is next to nothing.

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