Saturday, January 12, 2008

Major winter storm likely Sun N - Mon N

  • Light precipitation possible Sunday afternoon. No accumulation.
  • Snow beginning by midnight and becoming heavy by 4am. 2 to 4 inches.
  • Heavy snow between 5am and 11am. Significant effect on morning rush hour. 4 to 7 inches.
  • Light to moderate snow likely in the afternoon, mainly before 6pm. 2 to 3 inches.
  • Light snow possible ending before midnight. No accumulation.

    Total snow accumulation 7pm Sun - 7am Tue: 8 to 14 inches.

    Discussion:
    ... Points ...
  • Speed of surface low - how long before backend snow?
  • Strength of surface and 850mb low - bombogenisys? - wind? - blizzard?
  • Track of 850mb low - precipitation type?
  • Track of 700mb low - where will dry slotting occur?
  • Four shortwaves - which ones phase and when?
  • Frontogenisys - where does the deformation zone set up?
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