Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Sunday N - Monday snow / ice

Recap: Colder temperatures held on longer this morning, through 6am. Temperatures were steady overnight at 21, but began rising at 6am and now at 7:40am are nearing freezing. Because of great snow ratios and a longer duration, we were able to pull off 8.2 inches of snow, before sleet, and now freezing rain and rain compact and melt it. Lower altitudes of Keene as well as around Cheshire County are reporting between 6 and 8 inches.

Rain and freezing rain will continue moderate to heavy at times through the afternoon. Because of the multifaceted nature of the storm (in fact FOUR different storm systems, we will have to contend with precipitation potential through tonight. The final low pressure system will be approaching New England tomorrow morning. Colder temperatures will be back in place, and on the the off chance that this storm can swing further west, we could have a period of snow through Thursday morning. In addition to that, we will have freezing rain potential continuing up until midnight tonight. I've added a low probability of a delay tomorrow to cover these possibilities.

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On to the next storm, which also has some ptype issues to deal with unfortunately. Low pressure in the deep south this Sunday will lift northward on Monday, anywhere between the Great Lakes and Nova Scotia (still some details to be ironed out). Most likely is the Great Lakes track, because that is what we have seen all season long. So with that in mind, we will likely have some snow and icing potential before a change to rain later Monday morning. Once again, a large water equivalent storm is likely. I do not see great ice potential given we wont have the intense antecedent cold as we did with this storm. But with a long enough period of precip before the freezing line reaches us will mean some more signficant snowfall. Im confident in at least an inch of snow... but my confidence stops there.

Second snowfall guess: 1" to 3"

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