Monday, March 3, 2008

Warmer event tomorrow and Wednesday

The forecast models have slowed their eastward trends, and have come back west. Still expecting low level cold to hang in Tuesday Night, but it will likely be moved out quicker by strong warm air advection. Strong omega will help keep precipitation rates moderate to heavy through noon Wednesday, which will help also in frozen precipitation falling closer to the surface. Below freezing air mass will likely be located between 975mb and 925mb, suggesting once again an elevation event. I am still confident in a period of icing, however I doubt it will reach warning criteria, and it will likely end early Wednesday morning.


--- Snowday Outlook ---
Any icing at all is dangerous on the roads, so a delay is still likely as long as any period of freezing rain occurs early Wednesday morning. A cancellation is becoming very unlikely now.

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