00z NAM

As expected, dramatically higher QPF over SNE versus the 18z run. I think the 18z run can safely be tossed. 00z NAM gives Keene about .5" of water equivalent. With excellent omega, even on the edge of the storm, and a cold thermal profile, we'll be seeing high ratios, around 16:1. Down to the Mass Pike, ratios as high as 20:1 will be possible which will allow a few areas to reach 18 or more inches.

Sunday into Monday holds a lot of potential. Low pressure will track closer to the region, so ptype issues are likely in the I95 corridor. A very good set up at this point for a foot of snow here and maybe some winds as well as the low rapidly deepens to our east. Snow should wrap up before dawn Monday. I still haven't had time to write up a discussion, but maybe tomorrow...