Confidence levels

Yeah, Im in school right now, but it's lunch time.

Anyway
confidence levels:
All snow, no mix: 95%
>1.00" water equivalent: 85%
>2.00" water equivalent: 30%
>12:1 snow to water ratios: 65%
>1.0" snow accumulation: 95%
>6.0" snow accumulation: 85%
>12.0" snow accumulation: 75%
>18.0" snow accumulation: 60%
>24.0" snow accumulation: 35%

Dropping snow accumulation forecast for Keene, NH for 12z Tuesday through 12z Thursday (issued at 1200 2/12): 12 to 18 inches.

Energy in the GOM has been underestimated by the models. This could mean if it phases with the northern jet, even more moisture and snowfall. However, it could also pull moisture away if it goes east. Another variable in the forecast.