A strong wave of low pressure will move into the Ohio Valley by tomorrow morning, with triple point low pressure developing in Virginia and moving north-northeast into SNE. A strong low level jet out of the SE will transport a significant amount of moisture into the region, raising PWATs up to 1 to 1.2". The heaviest rain will probably occur right around noontime with the main area of lift. After that shifts northward by 3pm, scattered showers will remain. As low pressure moves toward the region, the atmosphere will be destabilized enough for some elevated convection and thunderstorms. General consensus is for total totals to reach the high 40's to near 50 in the evening and early nighttime hours. However, at the same time the best dynamics will be offshore, limiting the thunder chances and reducing the possibility for severe storms to very slim.
In all, biggest threat will be heavy rainfall that could reach an .5" to .75" and up to 1.25" in any thunderstorms.
No comments:
Post a Comment