Back and forth

Keeping an eye on water vapor imagery right now as the closed upper low is shown distinctly crossing over Kentucky. This is a little south of where models have been projecting it. The 00z model suite is coming in very similar to last nights runs, and south of the 12z/18z models. Basically, today's morning and afternoon models stranded a lot of meteorologists, including the NWS which issued a winter storm watch for 4-8" across southern New Hampshire.

Based on current satellite imagery and models, I think that even achieving 4" is unlikely.

For Keene, expect totals of 2" to 3". South of I-90, across CT and RI, totals of 8" to 14" are possible.

Timeline:
Expect light snow to develop by 10am in Keene, falling through the afternoon and tapering off by 11pm.

***It should be noted that New Englanders have not had must chance for experience in driving in wintry conditions this winter. In fact, DCers may be better than us by now. So still be cautious on the roads tomorrow.