Short term Tropical threatnone none 0% chance of tropical weather | Long term Tropical threatNone None 0% chance of tropical weather |
Latest Tropical Invests
None
Tuesday, December 19, 2006; 11:00EDT
NHC reanalysis shows unnamed storm!
NHC has been doing reanalysis of the 2006 season.
Here are the ones that have been done so far. Missing is only Hurricane Florence.
Of even greater importance is that on the 15th of December, the NHC determined that there was an unnamed tropical cyclone in the Atlantic between 15 and 18 of July ( after Alberto). The link to the analysis:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL502006_Unnamed.pdf
This is significant because now the 2006 hurricane season has 10 named storms officially bringing it up to the 1851-2000 average, however it is below the 1995-2005 (+AMO) average. There is still time (12 days) left for new storms to become a part of the 2006 hurricane season... however it is unlikely.
Alberto:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL012006_Alberto.pdf
Unnamed Tropical Storm:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL502006_Unnamed.pdf
Beryl:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL022006_Beryl.pdf
Chris:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL032006_Chris.pdf
Debby:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL042006_Debby.pdf
Ernesto:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL052006_Ernesto.pdf
Florence:
Gordon:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL072006_Gordon.pdf
Helene:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL082006_Helene.pdf
Isaac:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL092006_Isaac.pdf
Saturday, November 11, 2006; 18:30EDT
Coming to an end
Hurricane Season 2006 is coming to an end. Currently on the board, we stand at 9 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricane... none of which hit the US or reached category 5 intensity. At this point, 2006 is under a third of the intensity of 2005. More light will be shed on this after the official end of the season on November 30th (however more storms can be named under 2006 during December). There are still model solutions here and there calling for development in the Caribbean, so I cannot rule out another tropical storm. But I am shifting into winter mode as we see the possibility for cold and snow move into the region.
Surface Forecasts
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